The Table with data from 30 countries comprises a total of 607,883 Coronavirus cases (up 9.1% from 557,154 yesterday), which is 90.45% of the 672,086 cases (up 9.45% from 614,052 yesterday) reported worldwide at 10:00 am UTC today, and is therefore more than a good reference sample.
For those reading my daily post on the same subject for the first time, let me tell you that these countries have been chosen for my Data Analytics Study not just because they are amongst those countries with the highest number of cases, but also because they comprise the most populated nations on earth – that is why Bangladesh, Nigeria and Vietnam are part of the study.
One more important thing for those who have read my daily updates earlier. The percentage of new cases reported are lower NOT because the disease is under better control, but because many countries have not reported any data today (Sunday). These include India. This is absurd. When the world is fighting the biggest catastrophe of most of our lives, arrangements can surely be made to report data on Sunday.
Coronavirus (COVID-19 or SARS-CoV-2 or 2019-nCOV) cases worldwide has gone up 96.5% in 6 days since March 23. That means they have more than doubled. Cases in the 30 countries which comprise this Study have gone up by an average of 94.3% if we include China, proving again that the 30 countries chosen for my Study (now in its 14th day) are a good sample.
What continues to be alarming is that, if we exclude China, the cases in the remaining 29 countries have grown at a much higher rate of 127.2% in 6 days. Furthermore, if we exclude both China as well as South Korea, the cases in the remaining 28 countries have grown at 132% in these 6 days.
Of the 30 countries in the study, the number of cases in Turkey have gone up 6 times in 6 days; those in the Philippines, USA, and Russia have gone up about 3.5 times; and those in Nigeria, Belgium, and UK have more than tripled.
The Top 10 countries in the Table (the 10 with the highest growth rate in reported cases) have witnessed a growth rate of 212.4% in the past 5 days; the Middle 10 countries a growth rate of 127.9%; and the Bottom 10 countries a growth rate of only 31.1%. However, if we were to remove China and South Korea from the last group, the growth rate of the “Bottom 8” more than doubles to 62.7%.
The number of cases in USA are now 52% more than China, whereas those in Italy are 13.5% more than China. As China keeps moving down further in terms of the number of cases, more and more people will believe in the conspiracy theory that the Coronavirus has been deliberately manufactured by the “red dragon”.
Seven countries (including Spain, Germany, Iran and France) have now reported over 37,500 cases each and 10 countries (including UK, Switzerland, and Belgium) have crossed 10,000 cases. The number of countries with 5000+ cases is now 16; those with 2000+ cases is 25; while those with 1000+ cases is 40.
NOTE: This data will change drastically tomorrow (Monday) as many countries have not updated their reports today.
Of the 295,043 new cases reported in these 30 countries in the last 6 days, 97.8% are from the 18 countries that have reported at least 2,400 cases. As I have already said in each of my posts over the past 6 days, this only further proves that much more testing has been done in these 18 countries, than the 12 others.
Available data suggests that an estimated 6.584 million people have been tested in these 18 countries, at an average of 2.5 tests per 1,000 (up from 2.3 a day ago), with an estimated 388,000 cases performed in the last 24 hours alone.
About 9.06% of these 6.584 million people have tested positive for the infection (up from 9.04% a day ago).
An estimated 385,591 people have been tested in the remaining 12 countries. This translates to 0.1289 tests per 1,000 (up from 0.1244 a day ago), which is just 5.1% of the testing velocity of the first 18 countries.
About 3.01% of the 385,591 people were tested positive in these 12 countries (up from 2.73% a day ago), which is less than one-third of the infection rate of the first 18 countries. If we remove Russia and Vietnam from the 12, the infection rate of the remaining 10 countries goes up to 9.56%, which is a higher infection rate than the first 18 countries (with 2000+ cases each).