Daily New Cases Slow Down as India Crosses 80 lakh (8 million) Mark

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I have been doing Data Analytics Studies on the Coronavirus Pandemic for 230 days and have written 230 research-based articles on COVID-19 in these 230 days.

India has become the second country (after the USA) to cross 80 lakh (8 million) Covid19 cases. This means that about 1 out of every 173 people in the country have tested positive for the disease at some time or the other.

It took 147 days for India to cross the first 5 lakh cases, 20 days to cross 10 lakh, 12 days to cross 15 lakh, 9 days to cross 20 lakh, 8 days each to cross 25 lakh and 30 lakh, 7 days to cross 35 lakh, 6 days each to cross 40 lakh and 45 lakh, 5 days to cross 50 lakh, 6 days each to cross 55, 60 lakh and 65 lakh cases, 7 days to cross 70 lakh, 8 days to cross 75 lakh, and now 10 days to cross 80 lakh cases.

These numbers show that, if the pandemic was riding a bullet train in the journey from 10 lakh to 50 lakh cases, it  has moved to Rajdhani Express since then.

In the last 14 days, India added average 53,698 cases per day. The average has come down substantially from the peak of 91,646 in the two weeks from 6 to 20 September.

In the last few days, many of my readers have messaged me asking if the slowdown is a result of either less testing or the state governments fudging figures.

Although the question about whether the positive case numbers are being fudged can only be answered by PMNarendra Modi, Home MinisterAmit Shah, Health MinisterDr. Harsh Vardhan and the CMs of the states which have greatly reduced cases in the last 38 days (since 20 September), India has certainly not reduced testing. An average of 11,00,701 tests per day have been done in the last 38 days, compared to average 9,68,826 tests per days in the 38 days prior to that.

The National Capital Region has reported >4.57 lakh cases, of which >3.64 lakh are from Delhi alone.
Mumbai Metropolitan Region has reported >4.13 lakh cases, of which >2.52 lakh are from Mumbai alone. Bengaluru 
Metropolitan Region has reported >3.53 lakh cases. Chennai Metropolitan Region has reported >2.18 lakh cases.

About 88% of cases in India have recovered, which is higher than the global recovery rate of about 74.8%. India’s Fatality Rate (percentage of deaths) at 1.52% is much lower than the global Fatality Rate of 2.79%. On 1 June, India’s Fatality Rate and the world’s was 5.95%. This probably means that doctors worldwide have learned how to treat patients better over the course of the last 4½  months.


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LATEST UPDATES (at 2:50 pm UTC; 28 October 2020):

  • The world has crossed 44.393 million (4.43 crore) cases
  • The global death toll is over 1.174 million (11.74 lakh)
  • With 80,01,513 cases and 1,20,111 deaths, India is No.2 in cases and No.3 in deaths in the world
  • India’s Maharashtra state, with 16,54,028 cases and 43,463 deaths, would rank No.4 in cases and No.6 in deaths if it were a country
  • 3 countries have crossed 5,000,000 (50 lakh) cases (up from 0 on April 3)
  • 8 countries have crossed 1,000,000 cases (up from 0 on April 3)
  • 11 countries have crossed 750,000 cases (up from 0 on April 3)
  • 15 countries have crossed 500,000 cases (up from 0 on April 3)
  • 29 countries have crossed 250,000 cases (up from 1 on April 3)
  • 48 countries have crossed 100,000 cases (up from 3 on April 3)
  • 2 countries have crossed 150,000 deaths (up from 0 on April 3)
  • 4 countries have crossed 89,500 deaths (up from 0 on April 3)
  • 11 countries have crossed 30,000 deaths (up from 0 on April 3)
  • 13 countries have crossed 20,000 deaths (up from 0 on April 3)
  • 21 countries have crossed 10,000 deaths (up from 0 on April 3)
  • 32 countries have crossed 5,000 deaths (up from 5 on April 3)
  • 39 countries have crossed 2,500 deaths (up from 7 on April 3)

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