40 million (4 crore) Covid-19 Cases

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I have been doing Data Analytics Studies on the Coronavirus Pandemic for 220 days and have written 227 research-based articles on COVID-19 in these 220 days.

The reason I’ve not posted for three is because I have been busy trying to complete my 11th book, which I’m hoping will be my best nonfiction book yet. Because of this same reason, I had said three weeks ago that I will be very sporadic with posts over the next 45-60 days. I am now pleased to inform you that I hope to complete the book in the next 7-10 days. It has been a 15-month journey writing this book.  

Our planet crossed the milestone of 40 million (4 crore) Covid-19 cases.  This means that about 1 in every 195 people in the world have tested positive for the pandemic.

It took 121 days for the world to get to the first 5 million (50 lakh) cases, 36 days to 10 million (1 crore), 24 days to 15 million, 19 days to 20 million, 20 days to 25 million, 18 days each to 30 million and 35 million, and now only 15 days to 40 million (4 crore) cases.

An average of 348,955 cases per day have been reported in the last 7 days. This means that we are likely to cross 50 million (5 crore) cases again in 15 days. Is this what experts call “the flattening of the curve?”

Last Friday (16 October) had the highest daily count of 413,175 cases, 8% higher than the previous record of 382, 436 cases on the previous day (15 October). This was primarily due to record cases in France (its 4th highest tally of 25,086); Argentina (its 2nd highest tally of 16,546); UK (its 4th highest tally of 15,650); Russia (its highest tally of 15,150); Spain (its 2nd highest tally of 12,169); Czechia (its highest tally of 11,102); Belgium (its 2nd highest tally of 10,448); Italy (its 2nd highest tally of 10,010); Netherlands (its 2nd highest tally of 7,984); Germany (its highest tally of 7,976); and Poland (its 3rd highest tally of 7,705). Many other countries reported either their highest, 2nd highest or 3rd highest numbers on that day. Many countries, including some named above, reported their highest daily tallies yesterday (17 Oct).

About 52.7% of the cases are from the Top 3 countries (in number of cases) — USA, India and Brazil; ~69.9% from the Top 10 countries; and ~81.3% from the 24 countries which have reported over 300,000 cases.

Approximately 31.1% of the cases have been reported from Asia, ~25% from North America, ~22.4% from South America, and ~17.3% from Europe. 

About 2.8% of those affected have succumbed to the deadly disease. The Fatality Rate (percentage of those dying from the disease) has been continuously falling for several weeks. About 30% of the deaths are from North America, ~25% from South America, ~21.4% from Europe, and ~20% from Asia. Asia probably has a disproportionately low fatality rate because of its low average age of residents.

Though the Coronavirus Pandemic is unlikely to reach anywhere close to the infection or death count of the Spanish Flu or HIV/AIDS pandemics, the number of lab confirmed COVID-19 cases is already more than 81.4 times higher than the number of lab-confirmed H1N1 Swine Flu cases reported to the World Health Organization (WHO).

The global death count from the COVID19 pandemic is already more than 60.4 times higher than the number of lab-confirmed H1N1 Swine Flu deaths reported to WHO and is already almost 1.94 times its maximum estimated death count of 575,000.


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LATEST UPDATES (at 09:45 am UTC; 18 October 2020):

  • The world has crossed 40.007 million (4 crore) cases
  • The global death toll is over 1.115 million (11.15 crore)
  • With 74,94,746 cases and 1,14,078 deaths, India is No.2 in cases and No.3 in deaths in the world
  • India’s Maharashtra state, with 15,86,321 cases and 41,965 deaths, would rank No.4 in cases and No.6 in deaths if it were a country
  • 4 countries have crossed 5,000,000 (50 lakh) cases (up from 0 on April 3)
  • 5 countries have crossed 1,000,000 cases (up from 0 on April 3)
  • 10 countries have crossed 750,000 (7.5 lakh) cases (up from 0 on April 3)
  • 13 countries have crossed 500,000 cases (up from 0 on April 3)
  • 25 countries have crossed 250,000 cases (up from 1 on April 3)
  • 45 countries have crossed 100,000 cases (up from 3 on April 3)
  • 2 countries have crossed 150,000 deaths (up from 0 on April 3)
  • 4 countries have crossed 85,000 deaths (up from 0 on April 3)
  • 10 countries have crossed 30,000 deaths (up from 0 on April 3)
  • 13 countries have crossed 20,000 deaths (up from 0 on April 3)
  • 19 countries have crossed 10,000 deaths (up from 0 on April 3)
  • 32 countries have crossed 5,000 deaths (up from 5 on April 3)
  • 38 countries have crossed 2,500 deaths (up from 7 on April 3)

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