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COVID Impact on Global GDP

I have been doing Data Analytics Studies on the Coronavirus Pandemic for 91 days and have written 146 research-based blog posts on COVID-19 in these 91 days.

The OECD released its latest Economic Outlook yesterday, revealing the projected impact that the COVID-19 pandemic will have on global GDP in 2020. When assuming there will be no second wave of infections in 2020, GDP is currently expected to be down by 6% when compared with last year. Should we encounter a ‘double-hit’ scenario (a second wave) however, this is forecast to increase to a 7.6% drop.

OECD says that the COVID-19 pandemic is a global health crisis without precedent in living memory, which has triggered the most severe economic recession in nearly a century and is causing enormous damage to people’s health, jobs and well-being.

As this Statista infographic shows, when looking at the ‘single-hit’ scenario, amongst 13 large economies, the UK is expected to be hit the hardest, with a predicted fall of 11.5%, with France second at 11.4% and Ital not too far behind at 11.3%. Overall, the Eurozone is expected to have a fall of 9.1%, more than 50% higher than the global average.

The initial epicenter of the COVID-19 pandemic, China, is expected to go far more unscathed with a decrease of just 2.6%. The US is somewhat in the middle of the pack with a 7.3% reduction.

The projected impact of -3.7% on India is also lower than the world average.

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What Does this World Map Show?

LATEST UPDATES (at 1:00 pm UTC; June 11, 2020):

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