In the just concluded 2019 Elections for the 17th Lok Sabha, BJP on its own (without NDA allies) did not just win 7.4% more seats (303 seats compared with 282), but also increased its vote share by 20.1% across India. If this was not a pro-incumbency wave in favour of the Narendra Modi government, then what is?
In comparison, the vote share of Congress grew by just 0.1%.
Look at the state-wise swings in favour of BJP in the graph.
It got a whopping 743.1% increase in Tripura, where it had got a 2767% increase in the state assembly elections in February 2018.
In Mamata Banerjee’s bastion of West Bengal, BJP’s vote share grew by a huge 133.7%. Does this mean that BJP will win the state assembly elections, due in less than two years?
BJP also made above 50% gains in the states of Odisha, Telangana, Haryana and Bihar. Though Odisha was expected, Telangana was a big surprise. Can this become BJP’s second state in South India?
Even in states where BJP won all seats in 2014 – Gujarat, Rajasthan, Delhi, Uttarakhand and Himachal Pradesh, the party increased its vote share by a minimum of 5.3%.
A lot for the opposition to think about…