Coronavirus Growth in 48 hours

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The Table with data from 31 countries (Norway has now been excluded) comprises a total of 397,360 Coronavirus cases, which is 91.4% of the 434,595 cases reported worldwide until a few minutes ago, and is therefore more than a good reference sample.

While global Coronavirus / COVID-19 / SARS-CoV-2 cases have grown 28.8% just in the last 48 hours (2 days) alone, the total number of cases in these 31 countries have grown at an average of 27% if we include China, once again proving that these 31 countries are a good sample for a statistical study.

However, one thing is alarming, if we EXCLUDE CHINA, the cases in 30 countries have grown at a much higher rate of 36.3% in 48 hours.

As many as 9 of the 31 countries (Spain, UAE, Philippines, USA, Indonesia, Austria, Nigeria, Turkey, and Russia) have reported more than a 50% increase in the number of cases in the last 2 days alone; 5 of the 31 countries (Brazil, Belgium, Bangladesh, UK, and Australia) have reported over 40% increase; and 8 of the 31 countries (France, Malaysia, Germany, Switzerland, Netherlands, India, Thailand, and Mexico) have reported over 25% increase. Iran at 24.9%, Pakistan at 24.5% and Egypt at 22.9% are not too behind.

25 of the 31 countries in my DATA ANALYTICS STUDY (now in its tenth day today) have reported increases of between 22.9% and 62.1% in the number of Coronavirus cases REPORTED IN JUST TWO DAYS.

Another 3 of the 31 countries (Sweden, Italy, and Vietnam) have had a growth rate of between 13.6% and 18.9% in these two days, leaving only 3 countries (China, South Korea and Japan) at lower growth rates. Is it a coincidence that all these 3 countries are in the Far East Region?

Another important statistic – of the 84,367 new cases reported in these 31 countries in the last 48 hours, as many as 82,689 cases (or 98%) are from the 18 countries that have reported at least 1,750 cases. This only further proves that much more testing has been done in these 18 countries, than the 13 others. Available data suggests that 5.116 million people have been tested in these 18 countries, with 7.63% of the 5.116 million people having tested positive. An average of 1.95 people per 1,000 have been tested in these 18 countries.

On the other hand, only 419,684 people have been tested in 11 of the remaining 13 countries (testing data is not available for Egypt and Nigeria), with only 1.57% being tested positive, and a testing rate of only 0.155 people per 1,000. India is one of these 11 countries, with a test rate of an abysmal 0.0161 per 1,000 and 2.55% of the 22,038 people being tested positive.

Why do these 11 countries have only 1.57% people being tested positive, as against 7.63% in the 18 countries which have reported at least 1,750 cases? Once again, the culprits are Russia, UAE, and Vietnam, as I wrote in earlier posts. If we remove these 3 culprits, the balance 8 countries have a 7.62% positive test rate, almost exactly the same as the first 18 countries.


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