I have been conducting Data Analytics Studies on the Coronavirus Pandemic for 97 days and have written 151 research-based blog posts on COVID-19 in these 97 days.
India became the eighth nation in the world to cross 10,000 Covid-19 related deaths, if Central and state government data is to be believed. Most educated people seem to now agree with reports that the number of cases as well as deaths being reported in India are far less than the real numbers.
India has a Covid Fatality Rate (or Covid Mortality Rate) of 2.88%. However, this is based on positive cases and deaths numbers being calculated on the same day, which should not be the case. If we assume that the average Covid patient dies between the 10th and 12th day after being tested positive, the Fatality Rate goes up to 4.37%.
Compared to India’s 2.88%, the global Same-Day Fatality Rate (“SDFR”) is 5.4%. India is 16th amongst 25 countries which have reported a minimum of Covid 50,000 cases.
USA has reported the most deaths (118,344) with a SDFR of 5.42%. Brazil is at No.2 with 44,118 deaths and a SDFR of 4.95%. UK is at No.3 with 41,736 deaths and a SDFR of 14.06%. Italy is at No.4 with 34,371 deaths and a SDFR of 14.48%. France is at No.5 with 29,436 deaths and a SDFR of 18.7%. Spain is at No.6 with 27,136 deaths and a SDFR of 9.32%. Mexico is at No.7 with 17,580 deaths and a SDFR of 11.7%.
Amongst the 25 countries with minimum 50,000 cases, France has the highest SDFR of 18.7%, followed by Belgium at 16.06% and Italy at 14.48%. Qatar is at the bottom with a SDFR of only 0.09%, followed by Belarus at 0.57% and Saudi Arabia at 0.77%.
In fact, of the 8 Islamic nations with minimum 50,000 cases, 5 (including Pakistan and Bangladesh) have lower SDFRs than India and all 7 except Indonesia are below the global average. Why???
India reported its first Covid-19 related death on March 12. It took 47 days to reach the first 1,000 deaths, 11 days to reach 2,000 deaths, 8 days to reach 3,000, 7 days to reach 4,000, 6 days to reach 5,000, 4 days to reach 6,000, again 4 days to reach 7,000, 3 days to reach 8,000, again 3 days to reach 9,000, and yet another 3 days to reach 10,000 deaths.
Unless India does more testing (you can read several of my posts on this subject), we are going to keep averaging 3 days for every 1,000 deaths. The peak was an average of 390 daily deaths on June 10, 11 and 12, but this has surprisingly gone down to 342 in the last 3 days – or maybe not so surprisingly, as this post explains.
READ THESE RECENT POSTS:
LATEST UPDATES (at 3:00 pm UTC; June 16, 2020):
- The world has crossed 8.16 million cases
- The global death toll is over 440,300
- India has reported 347,794 cases and 10,015 deaths so far. In number of cases, India is No.4 in the world (up from No.22 on April 14). India’s Maharashtra state, with 110,744 cases, would rank No.17 if it were a country (up from No.44 on April 24)
- Mexico became the 14th country to cross 150,000 cases
- 6 countries have crossed 250,000 cases (up from 0 on April 1)
- 14 countries have crossed 150,000 cases (up from 1 on April 3)
- 16 countries have crossed 100,000 cases (up from 3 on April 3)
- 25 countries have crossed 50,000 cases (up from 8 on April 3)
- 41 countries have crossed 25,000 cases (up from 11 on April 3)
- 53 countries have crossed 15,000 cases (up from 16 on April 16)
- 62 countries have crossed 10,000 cases (up from 23 on April 16)
- Iran became the 10th country to cross 9,000 deaths
- Saudi Arabia became the 33rd country to cross 1,000 deaths
- 3 countries have crossed 40,000 deaths (up from 0 on April 3)
- 6 countries have crossed 25,000 deaths (up from 0 on April 3)
- 15 countries have crossed 5,000 deaths (up from 5 on April 3)
- 21 countries have crossed 2,500 deaths (up from 7 on April 3)
- 33 countries have crossed 1,000 deaths (up from 10 on April 3)
- 43 countries have crossed 500 deaths (up from 16 on April 16)