I have been conducting Data Analytics Studies on the Coronavirus Pandemic for 107 days and have written 167 research-based blog posts on COVID-19 in these 107 days.
India recorded its highest daily count of 18,185 new cases yesterday (June 25), which was 7.8% higher than the previous record of 16,870 cases recorded just the previous day (June 24). In the last 3 days, India has recorded an average of 16,907 daily cases.
The average of the past 10 days has been 14,814 daily cases, compared to average 10,684 daily cases in the 10 days from June 6 to 15 and average 8,539 daily cases in the 10 days from May 27 to June 5.
Even in deaths, the last 3-days tally of 431 average deaths has been the highest ever, except on June 16, when Maharashtra reported 1200+ old deaths that it had missed reporting earlier. With yesterday’s count, India also became the 8th country in the world to cross 15,000 deaths. The total deaths stand at 15,319 now.
The average of 16,907 daily cases in the past 3 days is a result of testing being ramped up. In these 3 days, an average of 212,837 tests were conducted. The last 10 days’ average has been 185,516 daily tests, compared to average 141,917 daily tests in the 10 days from June 6 to 15 and average 126,026 daily tests in the 10 days from May 27 to June 5.
With 7,776,228 tests, India has conducted 5,636 Tests per Million residents (TPM) or just a shade higher than 0.56% of its population. Even Pakistan has done 5,404 TPMs.
The three countries with more Covid-positive cases than India have done far more testing than India — Russia (126,104 TPM) has ~22.4 times the testing rate of India; USA (92,863 TPM) has ~16.5 times the testing rate of India; and Brazil (50,334 TPM) has ~8.9 times the testing rate of India.
The 19 countries with a minimum of 100,000 reported cases have an average testing rate of 33,361 TPM, which is over 5.9 times that of India.
Despite ramping up testing by 45.4% in the past 20 days compared to the previous 20 days, India still needs to ramp us testing even more to catch up with MOST of the rest of the world. Here are 3 examples of the testing rate (or testing velocity) in countries which are poorer economies than India.
Ghana, which has a 37% lower per capita GDP than India, has conducted 9,116 TPM. Nepal (62% lower per capita GDP than India) has conducted 16,741 TPM. Uzbekistan (4% lower per capita GDP than India) has conducted 31,039 TPM.
Do we really need to compare the world’s 5th largest economy India with the 74th largest economy Ghana or the 83rd largest economy Uzbekistan or the 103rd largest economy Nepal? Is this the real state of affairs in a country which wants to become a $5 trillion economy in the next 5 years? Prime Minister Narendra Modi must answer this.
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LATEST UPDATES (at 10:30 am UTC; June 26, 2020):
- The world has crossed 9.734 million cases
- The global death toll is over 492,300
- With 491,992 cases and 15,319 deaths. India is No.4 in the world in cases and No.8 in deaths. Maharashtra state, with 147,741 cases and 6,931 deaths, would rank No.17 in cases and No.15 in deaths if it were a country
- Mexico became the 11th country to cross 200,000 cases
- 8 countries have crossed 250,000 cases (up from 0 on April 1)
- 16 countries have crossed 150,000 cases (up from 1 on April 3)
- 19 countries have crossed 100,000 cases (up from 3 on April 3)
- 29 countries have crossed 50,000 cases (up from 8 on April 3)
- 46 countries have crossed 25,000 cases (up from 11 on April 3)
- 57 countries have crossed 15,000 cases (up from 16 on April 16)
- 66 countries have crossed 10,000 cases (up from 23 on April 16)
- Mexico became the 7th country to cross 25,000 deaths
- Iran became the 9th country to cross 10,000 deaths
- 2 countries have crossed 50,000 deaths (up from 0 on April 3)
- 7 countries have crossed 25,000 deaths (up from 0 on April 3)
- 9 countries have crossed 10,000 deaths (up from 0 on April 3)
- 17 countries have crossed 5,000 deaths (up from 5 on April 3)
- 24 countries have crossed 2,500 deaths (up from 7 on April 3)
- 36 countries have crossed 1,000 deaths (up from 10 on April 3)
- 49 countries have crossed 500 deaths (up from 16 on April 16)