9 million… and counting!!!

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I have been conducting Data Analytics Studies on the Coronavirus Pandemic for 102 days and have written 165 research-based blog posts on COVID-19 in these 102 days.

A few minutes ago, the world reached the milestone of 9 million (90 lakh) Covid-19 cases. This means that more than 1 in every 865 people on our planet have tested positive for the deadly pandemic.

More than 26% of the global cases are from USA alone; almost half are from the Top 4 countries — USA, Brazil, Russia and India; almost ⅔ are from the Top 10 countries; and over 80% are from the 18 countries that have reported over 100,000 cases.

Over 30% of the cases are from North America, over 25% from Europe, over 21% from Asia, and almost 20% from Central & South America. Central & South America has witnessed the highest relative growth in the last 15 days.

More than 5.2% of those affected (over 468,500 people) have succumbed to the deadly disease. Almost 55,000 patients are in critical or serious condition. About 40% of the deaths are from Europe, about 33% from North America, about 15% from Central & South America, and slightly over 10% from Asia.

It took 13 days for the world to move from 1 million to 2 million (10 lakh to 20 lakh) cases, 12 days to 3 million cases, again 12 days to 4 million, 11 days to 5 million, 9 days to 6 million, again 9 days to 7 million, 8 days to 8 million cases, and now only 7 days to move to 9 million cases.

In the last 5 days, there have been an average of 153,755 new cases per day, which means that we will cross the 10 million (1 crore) milestone in 7 days.

Some of the deadliest pandemics of the last 10 years were:

Screenshot 2020-06-21 at 11.07.51 pmSPANISH FLU (1918-20) infected 500 million people, about a quarter of the world’s population at the time. The death toll was anywhere from 40 million to 100 million, making it one of the deadliest pandemics in history.

AIDS (HIV) (1981-present), which peaked between the years 2005 and 2012, has claimed an estimated 30-36 million lives in the past 39 years.

Screenshot 2020-06-21 at 11.09.29 pmASIAN FLU (1957-58), which had its roots in China, resulted in 1 to 2 million deaths worldwide, with 116,000 in the USA alone.

HONG KONG FLU (1968-70), caused by an H3N2 strain of the influenza A virus, caused about 1 million deaths, including about 100,000 in USA alone.

Screenshot 2020-06-21 at 11.11.07 pmThe H1N1 SWINE FLU (2009-2010), which originated in Mexico, infected 700 million to 1.4 billion people (10.2 to 20.4% of the then world population), though the number of confirmed cases were only 1,632,710. This Swine Flu pandemic is estimated to have killed between 180,000 and 575,000 people, though the number of lab-confirmed deaths reported to the WHO (World Health Organization) was just 18,449.

Though the Coronavirus Pandemic is unlikely to reach anywhere close to the infection or death count of the Spanish Flu or AIDS, the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases is already 5.5 times higher that of the H1N1 Swine Flu.

The global death count from COVID-19 is already more than 25.5 times higher than the number of lab-confirmed H1N1 Swine Flu deaths reported to the WHO and is 22-23 days away from reaching the maximum estimated death count. At the current growth in number of deaths, the world will reach a death count of 1 million (10 lakh) in about 110 days, i.e., the end of September.

USA’s death count from COVID-19 has already crossed the country’s death count from the Hong Kong Flu as well as the Asian Flu.


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What Does this World Map Show?

LATEST UPDATES (at 6:30 pm UTC; June 21, 2020):

  • The world has crossed 9.002 million cases
  • The global death toll is over 468,550
  • With 426,671 cases and 13,695 deaths. India is No.4 in the world in cases and No.8 in deaths. Maharashtra state, with 132,075 cases and 6,170 deaths, would rank No.17 in cases and No.15 in deaths if it were a country
  • Peru became the 7th country to cross 250,000 cases
  • Pakistan overtook Mexico to reach the No.13 rank in number of cases
  • 7 countries have crossed 250,000 cases (up from 0 on April 1)
  • 16 countries have crossed 150,000 cases (up from 1 on April 3)
  • 18 countries have crossed 100,000 cases (up from 3 on April 3)
  • 27 countries have crossed 50,000 cases (up from 8 on April 3)
  • 44 countries have crossed 25,000 cases (up from 11 on April 3)
  • 53 countries have crossed 15,000 cases (up from 16 on April 16)
  • 64 countries have crossed 10,000 cases (up from 23 on April 16)
  • Brazil became the 2nd country to cross 50,000 deaths
  • Mexico became the 7th country to cross 20,000 deaths
  • 2 countries have crossed 50,000 deaths (up from 0 on April 3)
  • 6 countries have crossed 25,000 deaths (up from 0 on April 3)
  • 8 countries have crossed 10,000 deaths (up from 0 on April 3)
  • 16 countries have crossed 5,000 deaths (up from 5 on April 3)
  • 21 countries have crossed 2,500 deaths (up from 7 on April 3)
  • 36 countries have crossed 1,000 deaths (up from 10 on April 3)
  • 47 countries have crossed 500 deaths (up from 16 on April 16)


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