India Crosses 400,000 Covid-19 Cases

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I have been conducting Data Analytics Studies on the Coronavirus Pandemic for 101 days and have written 161 research-based blog posts on COVID-19 in these 101 days.

A few minutes ago, India became the fourth country in the world to cross 400,000 COVID-19 cases. It also became the 8th country to cross 13,000 deaths.

India was the 15th country to cross 50,000 cases, the 11th to cross 100,000 cases, the 10th to cross 150,000 cases, the 7th to cross 200,000 cases, the 6th to cross 250,000 cases, the 4th to cross 300,000, 350,000 and 400,000 cases

It took India 97 days to reach its first 50,000 cases, 12 days to reach 100,000 cases, 8 days to reach 150,000 cases, 7 days to reach 200,000 cases, 5 days to reach 250,000 cases, again 5 days to reach 300,000 cases, 4 days to reach 350,000 cases, and again 4 days to reach 400,000 cases.

Yesterday, India reported its highest ever single-day tally of 14,721 cases. In the last 10 days, India has accounted for 8.55% of total worldwide cases and 10.75% of total deaths.

About 54% of the cases in India have recovered, which is a notch higher than the global recovery rate of 52.9%. India’s Fatality Rate (percentage of deaths) at 3.25% is much lower than the global Fatality Rate of 5.27%.

The 3 countries with more cases than India have conducted an average of 79,350 Tests per Million residents (TPM), led by Russia with 114,171 TPMs, followed by USA with 82,611 TPMs and Brazil with 50,351 TPMs, whereas India has only conducted 4,796 TPMs. If testing in India reaches the level of Brazil, India would have crossed 4 million cases.

However, even without that level of testing, at the current growth rate of India and Russia, the former will overtake the latter in 19 days. Yes, by July 9, India will have the third highest case count in the world.

Screenshot 2020-06-20 at 4.36.16 pmEven if India reached the testing level of Ghana, which has a 37% lower per capita GDP than India, we would have 695,808 cases and ranked higher than Russia — the current No.3 in number of cases. If India reached the testing level of Nepal, which has a 62% lower per capita GDP than India, we would have more than 1.163 million cases and ranked higher than Brazil — the current No.2. Or if India reached the testing level of Uzbekistan, which has a 4% lower per capita GDP than India, we would have almost 1.85 million cases.

Screenshot 2020-06-20 at 4.38.31 pmDo we really need to compare the world’s 5th largest economy India (4,796 TPMs) with the 74th largest economy Ghana (8,417 TPMs) or the 83rd largest economy Uzbekistan (22,377 TPMs) or the 103rd largest economy Nepal (14,068 TPMs) now? Is this the real state of affairs in a country which wants to become a $5 trillion economy in the next 5 years? India’s Prime Minister Narendra Modi must answer this question.



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LATEST UPDATES (at 1:30 pm UTC; June 20, 2020):

  • The world has crossed 8.8 million cases
  • The global death toll is over 463,400
  • India has reported 400,566 cases and 13,030 deaths. India is No.4 in the world in number of cases (up from No.22 on April 14) and No.8 in number of deaths. Maharashtra state, with 124,331 cases and 5,893 deaths, would rank No.17 in cases and No.16 in deaths if it were a country
  • Pakistan overtook Mexico to reach the No.13 rank in number of cases
  • 6 countries have crossed 250,000 cases (up from 0 on April 1)
  • 16 countries have crossed 150,000 cases (up from 1 on April 3)
  • 18 countries have crossed 100,000 cases (up from 3 on April 3)
  • 26 countries have crossed 50,000 cases (up from 8 on April 3)
  • 43 countries have crossed 25,000 cases (up from 11 on April 3)
  • 53 countries have crossed 15,000 cases (up from 16 on April 16)
  • 64 countries have crossed 10,000 cases (up from 23 on April 16)
  • Mexico became the 7th country to cross 20,000 deaths
  • Russia became the 13th country to cross 8,000 deaths
  • Chile became the 20th country to cross 4,000 deaths
  • 3 countries have crossed 40,000 deaths (up from 0 on April 3)
  • 6 countries have crossed 25,000 deaths (up from 0 on April 3)
  • 16 countries have crossed 5,000 deaths (up from 5 on April 3)
  • 21 countries have crossed 2,500 deaths (up from 7 on April 3)
  • 33 countries have crossed 1,000 deaths (up from 10 on April 3)
  • 45 countries have crossed 500 deaths (up from 16 on April 16)

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