I have been doing Data Analytics Studies on the Coronavirus Pandemic for 42 days. The 27 countries in this Study have been chosen as they are either amongst the 21 with the highest number of cases (over 18,000), or because they are amongst the 11 most populated nations on earth (over 125 million). It is because of the second reason that Indonesia, Pakistan, Nigeria, Bangladesh, Mexico, and Nigeria are part of the Study.
The Table with data from the chosen 27 countries comprises 2,615,245 COVID-19 cases, which is 89.1% of the total 2,934,654 cases reported worldwide by 11:00 am UTC/GMT today, and is therefore more than a good reference sample.
Look at the second last column in the Table, titled “Positivity Rate“. It means the percentage of people tested positive for COVID-19 out of the total number tested.
As Testing Data is not available for China (surprised?), I have ignored China from my Analysis. Further, if we ignore Nigeria, as there are doubts about its data being reliable, the Average Positivity Rate for the remaining 25 countries is 12.85%. Then how is India’s Positivity rate only 4.2%, less than a third of the average?
Bangladesh’s Positivity Rate is 2.75 times that of India and Pakistan’s 2.08 times. Sure, Russia has a lower Positivity Rate than India, but is Russia a ‘true’ democracy whose data can be considered reliable?
The government cannot take credit for a low Positivity Rate, as it has nothing to do with precautionary measures such as lockdown. IT MEANS SOMETHING IS WRONG.
I urge Prime Minister Narendra Modi to look at the very important issue of whether our testing protocols or reporting protocols (or both) are faulty. If overconfidence leads us to believe that we are doing better than the rest of the world, we will have only ourselves to blame if the situation turns into a disaster.
The government has been taking credit for overall low numbers in India compared to most Western countries, but even this is not fully correct, as India ranks at No.23 out of 25 countries (excluding China and Nigeria) in terms of number of tests conducted per million people. We are higher than only Bangladesh and Indonesia. Is that something to be proud of? Even Pakistan has performed 1.46 times more tests than India per million residents. If we exclude the 15 most developed nations in the Table, the average “Testing Rate” of the balance 10 (excluding China and Nigeria) is 1,183 tests per million, which is almost 2.6 times higher than India’s 458 tests per million. I have read many news reports of India increasing its testing capability to 100,000 tests per day. WHEN???
LATEST UPDATES (at 3:30 pm UTC):
- The world has crossed 2.945 million cases
- The global death toll is over 203,900
- India has reached 27,521 cases and 874 deaths as per covid19india.org In terms of rank in no. of cases out of all countries (not just the 27 in this Study), India is at No.16 (up from No.22 on April 14).
- Maharashtra, with 8,068 cases, would rank No.39 in the world if it were a country
- Russia became the 10th country to cross 80,000 cases
- 6 countries have crossed 125,000 cases (up from 1 on April 3)
- 10 countries have crossed 75,000 cases (up from 4 on April 3)
- 17 countries have crossed 25,000 cases (up from 11 on April 3)
- 24 countries have crossed 15,000 cases (up from 16 on April 16)
- 35 countries have crossed 10,000 cases (up from 23 on April 16)
- 40 countries have crossed 7,500 cases (up from 26 on April 16)
48 countries have crossed 5,000 cases (up from 20 on April 16)
- UK became the 5th country to cross 20,000 deaths, Belgium the 6th to cross 7,000, and Brazil the 11th to cross 4,000
- 5 countries have 20,000+ deaths (up from just 1 on April 3)
- 8 countries have 5000+ deaths (up from 5 on April 3)
- 12 countries have 2500+ deaths (up from 7 on April 3)
- 17 countries have 1000+ deaths (up from 10 on April 3)
- 27 countries have 500+ deaths (up from 16 on April 16)