India Crosses 500,000 Covid-19 Cases

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I have been conducting Data Analytics Studies on the Coronavirus Pandemic for 107 days and have written 169 research-based blog posts on COVID-19 in these 107 days.

India is the fourth country in the world to cross 500,000 (5 lakh) COVID-19 cases. Yesterday, it became the 8th country to cross 15,000 deaths.

India was the 11th country to cross 100,000 (1 lakh) cases, the 7th to cross 200,000 (2 lakh) cases, and also the 4th to cross 300,000 (3 lakh) and 400,000 (4 lakh) cases. It took 109 days for India to reach the first 100,000 (1 lakh) cases, 15 days to reach 200,000 (2 lakh) cases, 10 days to reach 300,000 (3 lakh) cases, 8 days to reach 400,000 (4 lakh) cases, and only 6 days to cross 500,000 (5 lakh) cases.

Yesterday, India reported its highest ever single-day tally of 18,185 cases. In the last 10 days, India has accounted for 9.5% of total worldwide cases and 10.9% of total deaths.

The National Capital Region (also referred to as Greater Delhi) has reported over 90,500 cases, of which over 78,000 are from Delhi alone. The Greater Mumbai Metropolitan Region has reported over 90,000 Covid cases, of which over 73,000 are from Mumbai city alone. Greater Chennai has reported over 53,000 cases. In comparison, the entire state of West Bengal has reported only 16,190 cases, a figure that only Mamata Banerjee and her cronies believe.

About 58.1% of cases in India have recovered, which is higher than the global recovery rate of 54.1%. India’s Fatality Rate (percentage of deaths) at 3.11% is much lower than the global Fatality Rate of 5.05%.

With 7,776,228 tests, India has conducted 5,636 Tests per Million residents (TPM) or just a shade higher than 0.56% of its population. Even Pakistan has done 5,404 TPMs.

Screenshot 2020-05-30 at 7.35.02 pmThe three countries with more Covid-positive cases than India have done far more testing than India — Russia (126,104 TPMs) has ~22.4 times the testing rate of India; USA (92,910 TPMs) has ~16.5 times the testing rate of India; and Brazil (50,334 TPMs) has ~8.9 times the testing rate of India.

The Top 30 countries in number of cases (all have reported a minimum of 50,000 cases) have an average testing rate of 38,396 TPMs, which is over 6.8 times that of India.

Despite ramping up testing by 45.4% in the past 20 days compared to the previous 20 days, India still needs to ramp us testing even more to catch up with MOST of the rest of the world. Given below are 3 examples of the testing rate (or testing velocity) in countries which are poorer economies than India.

Screenshot 2020-06-26 at 7.18.47 pmGhana, which has a 37% lower per capita GDP than India, has conducted 9,116 TPMs. At Ghana’s testing level, India would have over 800,000 cases and ranked higher than Russia — the current No.3 in number of cases.

Nepal (62% lower per capita GDP than India) has conducted 16,927 TPMs. At Nepal’s testing level, India would have over 1.5 million cases and ranked higher than Brazil — the current No.2.

Uzbekistan (4% lower per capita GDP than India) has conducted 33,509 TPMs. At Uzbekistan’s testing level, India would have over 2.97 million (29.7 lakh) cases, the highest in the world.

Do we really need to compare the world’s 5th largest economy India with the 74th largest economy Ghana or the 83rd largest economy Uzbekistan or the 103rd largest economy Nepal? Is this the real state of affairs in a country which wants to become a $5 trillion economy in the next 5 years? Prime Minister Narendra Modi must answer this.


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What Does this World Map Show?

LATEST UPDATES (at 3:30 pm UTC; June 26, 2020):

  • The world has crossed 9.771 million cases
  • The global death toll is over 493,000
  • With 501,864 cases and 15,487 deaths. India is No.4 in the world in cases and No.8 in deaths. Maharashtra state, with 147,741 cases and 6,931 deaths, would rank No.17 in cases and No.15 in deaths if it were a country
  • Mexico became the 11th country to cross 200,000 cases
  • Pakistan overtook Germany to reach the No.12 rank in cases
  • 8 countries have crossed 250,000 cases (up from 0 on April 1)
  • 16 countries have crossed 150,000 cases (up from 1 on April 3)
  • 19 countries have crossed 100,000 cases (up from 3 on April 3)
  • 30 countries have crossed 50,000 cases (up from 8 on April 3)
  • 46 countries have crossed 25,000 cases (up from 11 on April 3)
  • 58 countries have crossed 15,000 cases (up from 16 on April 16)
  • 66 countries have crossed 10,000 cases (up from 23 on April 16)
  • Mexico became the 7th country to cross 25,000 deaths
  • Iran became the 9th country to cross 10,000 deaths
  • 2 countries have crossed 50,000 deaths (up from 0 on April 3)
  • 7 countries have crossed 25,000 deaths (up from 0 on April 3)
  • 9 countries have crossed 10,000 deaths (up from 0 on April 3)
  • 17 countries have crossed 5,000 deaths (up from 5 on April 3)
  • 24 countries have crossed 2,500 deaths (up from 7 on April 3)
  • 36 countries have crossed 1,000 deaths (up from 10 on April 3)
  • 49 countries have crossed 500 deaths (up from 16 on April 16)


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